Key Takeaways
- Rockstar fans were banking on a popular theory centered around moon phases to predict GTA 6’s Trailer 2 release date.
- Unfortunately, the moon theory has now been debunked, leading to disappointment in the GTA 6 fanbase.
- GTA 6 has repeatedly been confirmed for a fall 2025 launch, so Rockstar could still release Trailer 2 before the end of 2024.
Grand Theft Auto 6 fans have been left disappointed after the recent debunking of the popular moon theory that predicted when the game’s long-awaited second trailer could drop. Although this theory was backed by somewhat plausible evidence, it seems Rockstar Games isn’t quite following lunar phases to determine when to release GTA 6‘s next trailer.
After the first trailer for GTA 6 aired nearly one year ago, fans have been scrambling to deduce Rockstar’s next marketing beat for the highly-anticipated open-world crime game. From tuning into every Take-Two earnings call over the past year to analyzing pre-release marketing beats for past Rockstar titles like GTA 5 and Red Dead Redemption 2, GTA 6‘s dedicated fanbase has left no stone unturned in attempting to predict the second trailer’s release date. Unfortunately, Rockstar has yet to say anything official, but one fan theory did take off.
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Back in September 2023, Rockstar posted a promotional image for GTA Online which featured a large moon in its Waning Gibbous phase in the background. The real-life moon entered this phase on December 1, 2023, which just so happened to be the day when Rockstar announced the release date of GTA 6‘s first trailer. Coincidentally, Rockstar released yet another GTA Online promotional image with a Waning Gibbous moon at the start of November 2024, igniting hope among fans for a potential announcement of GTA 6‘s trailer 2.
GTA 6 Fans Shoot for the Moon in Trailer 2 Theory, But Ultimately Fall Short
Since the moon was in its Waning Gibbous phase at the time, fans wagered that Rockstar might announce or drop the second GTA 6 trailer on November 22, 2024, the day the lunar phase would end. However, the day is now here and well past 9 AM ET, which is when Rockstar and Take-Two usually make announcements, without any word on GTA 6‘s next trailer. Understandably, the GTA 6 fanbase is rather distraught about its optimistic moon theory turning out incorrect this time, and remains uncertain of Rockstar’s plans for Trailer 2.
While the silence around GTA 6 can be frustrating for many fans, both Rockstar and Take-Two have at least reaffirmed their confidence in the game’s fall 2025 release window several times this year. Given the strong conviction, it seems quite likely that Rockstar could have another marketing beat for GTA 6 lined up sooner rather than later. Despite the moon theory ending up false, then, fans shouldn’t lose hope for GTA 6‘s next trailer.
